Matija Lukic

Age today16y 11mBorn2009 Height 203 cm 6'8" PositionSF/PF NationalityNetherlands / Serbia Plays as Two-Way Wing Signed Not checked NCAA 5 seasonsenrol by 2029-30 Last game 2026-07-05 4 months ago Sample 979′ · 41 GP Teams in windowJoker S. / Serbia / Zaragoza / Zaragoza U22

95Prospect score

#3 of 528 born 2009

Read scouted ? Read

4 of 16 rules fired.

The findings below come from a deterministic rule engine — every number is a value in the mart, cited beneath the sentence it supports.

This player's opening paragraph is different. He has 4 published scouting reports (Eurohopes), and the paragraph is written from them rather than from a rule. It is the only generated prose on this page. Findings marked " are also a scout's opinion, not a measurement, and carry their outlet and date instead of a mart path. The originals are linked under "What the scouts wrote" below — read them before you rely on the summary.

Rule findings are never removed to agree with a scout. Where the two point opposite ways, the finding says so.

Lukic is scouted primarily as a shooter, and the word used is "exceptional" — effective both off spot-ups and off the catch, and named alongside Petar Bjelica as one of Serbia's two main threats behind Nikola Kusturica. Scouts credit big physical upside: legitimate athleticism and a well-proportioned frame, which they say is driving his stock upward.

He moved to Zaragoza to join their U22 core and has since made his professional debut, getting minutes mainly in the FIBA Europe Cup. The read on him there is that frame and size combined with mobility and his skill set operating with the ball make him worth tracking. The retrieved reports contain no recorded weakness, which reflects a short file rather than a complete player — this is four passages, two of which are roster context rather than evaluation.

Written from 4 published reports (Eurohopes) — not from the model. The score and every finding beside it are unaffected.

Strengths (4)

+ About 4.0 years younger than the median regular of the competitions he played in.mart.prospect.months_younger_than_level = 47.4

" Exceptional shooter both off spot-ups and off the catch — his primary calling card.Eurohopes — Pietro Cristofori, Oct 2025

" Big physical upside: legitimate athleticism and a well-proportioned frame, which scouts say is raising his stock.Eurohopes — Pietro Cristofori, Oct 2025

" Made his professional debut with Zaragoza, taking minutes mainly in the FIBA Europe Cup.Eurohopes — Albert Juncà, Mar 2026

Weaknesses (0)

No rule fired at a weakness threshold.

Context (4)

· Reads statistically as a two-way wing — listed SF/PF, 203 cm (6'8").mart.prospect.primary_role = 'Two-Way Wing', height_cm = 203

· Seen across 3 competitions in the window (es-acb, es-u22, fiba-u16-euro-a, fiba-u17-wc, rs-kls) — his cross-level observations are also what the league-strength model is fitted on.mart.prospect.n_competitions = 3

· Well sampled: 979 minutes over 41 games.mart.prospect.minutes = 979

" Short file: four passages, two of which are roster context rather than evaluation, and no recorded weakness. Absence of criticism here is missing evidence, not a clean bill.app.scout_report: 4 reports

Score breakdown ? Score breakdown

Every number here is a percentile within the 2009 cohort — 528 players who cleared the sample floor. 50 is the middle of his own age group, not of basketball.

Weighted 32 / 24 / 16 / 12 — Production, Level, Age vs level, Skill markers. Physical and Confidence scale the whole score instead, by up to 10% and 6%; they can lower it, never raise it. Move the weights on the board →

Production ? Production

How much he produced, once you strip out how easy his competition was and how old he is. Points, rebounds, assists, steals and blocks in one number, per 40 minutes, then shrunk toward the average if we have seen little of him.

For him: age + level adjusted.

Level ? Level

The best competition he has genuinely held a role in — weighted by how big that role was, plus a little credit for the strongest competition he has appeared in at all.

For him: strongest competition with a reliable sample.

Age vs level ? Age vs level

How young he is for the company he keeps. Months younger than the typical regular where he has held a real role, plus a little credit for the gap at the strongest competition he has appeared in at all — the same shape as Level, because reaching an ACB floor at seventeen counts even for two minutes.

For him: 47 months younger · incl. 2′ at es-acb, 13.1 yr younger there.

Skill markers ? Skill markers

True shooting, three-point volume x accuracy, assist-to-turnover, free-throw rate, and steals plus blocks — the markers that tend to survive a move up a level. Ranked against others in his position group and birth year.

For him: TS · 3P vol×acc · A/TO · FTr.

Physical ? Physical

His height as a percentile among players of the same POSITION and age — 206 cm is average for a centre and exceptional for a wing. It can only subtract, and only below the median: average height for your position costs nothing, and the compression grows to at most 10% for the genuinely undersized.

For him: within SF/PF his age.

Confidence ? Confidence

How much of him we have actually seen — minutes, share of his team's games, and how many separate competitions. This is a statement about our data, not a judgement about the player.

For him: how much we have seen — 979′ · 41 GP · estimated profile.

Rate profile ? Rate profile

Each family is his level- and age-adjusted rate, percentiled against every player born in 2009 who cleared the sample floor — the same 528 players the score breakdown uses.

Scoring 89

Rebounding 43

Playmaking 84

Defence 74

Efficiency 86

Usage 77

Career Adj: his 32.5 vs a 2009 median of 25.9 ? Career

One row per competition-season, because "how good is he" is only answerable per level.

Lvl is the fitted Level Index band. Adj is his composite production translated to the FIBA youth Division A baseline at age 20 — the number that makes a Lithuanian U18 line and an ACB line comparable.

Reading Adj. A per-40 composite (points + 0.7·rebounds + assists + steals + blocks − 0.7·turnovers) after the competition effect and the age effect have been removed, so two rows compare directly however far apart their levels are. For scale, the median among ranked 2009-born players is 25.9; his own window figure is 32.5 after sample shrinkage.

Game log ↓

Season	Competition	Lvl	Adj	Obs	Team	Age	GP	MIN	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	PTS/40	REB/40	AST/40	STL	BLK	TOV	TS%	3P%	3PA/40	USG	OREB%	DREB%	+/−
2026	FIBA U17 World Cup U17	4	35.7	32.6	Serbia	16.7	7	195	27.9	16.1	4.4	2.4	23.2	6.4	3.5	2.0	1.4	2.9	62.9	41.9	8.8	22.0	5.2	11.3	5.7
2025-2026	Liga U22 U22	3	36.0	25.2	Zaragoza U22	16.3	27	630	23.3	9.9	2.7	2.7	17.0	4.6	4.6	2.4	0.2	3.3	54.6	27.1	6.1	19.9	4.9	7.8	0.0
2025	FIBA U16 EuroBasket Division A U16	4	30.0	24.9	Serbia	15.8	7	154	22.0	8.7	2.7	2.1	15.8	4.9	3.9	2.3	0.8	2.1	48.0	22.2	7.0	20.1	3.1	10.9	8.0
2025-2026	Liga Endesa (ACB)	1	—	—	Zaragoza	16.2	1	2	2.0	3.0	1.0	0.0	60.0	20.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	104.2	—	0.0	36.6	0.0	76.9	0.0
2024-2025	Kosarkaska Liga Srbije	2	—	—	Joker S.	15.4	4	6	1.5	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2023-2024	Juniorska Liga Srbije U19	4	—	—	Joker S.	14.4	5	45	9.0	0.8	1.8	0.2	3.6	8.0	0.9	0.0	0.0	4.4	33.3	0.0	0.9	11.5	5.2	17.1	-2.2

Game log 25 of 51 shown ? Game log

Every game he played, newest first — the window and everything before it.

Age is his exact age that day, not his age this season. St marks a start; a p beside it means the source rows for that game do not sum to the reported score.

Date	Comp	Team	Opponent	Result	Age	MIN	PTS	FG	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/−	St
2026-07-05	fiba-u17-wc	Serbia	@ —	81–107	16.71	34	16	5/10	4/6	2/2	3	4	7	4	1	0	3	3	-30	●
2026-07-04	fiba-u17-wc	Serbia	@ Turkey	76–71	16.71	33	20	8/12	3/6	1/2	1	2	3	0	0	2	2	4	14	●
2026-07-03	fiba-u17-wc	Serbia	@ Lithuania	101–78	16.70	37	27	8/14	4/8	7/8	1	5	6	4	3	2	1	4	23	●
2026-07-01	fiba-u17-wc	Serbia	@ New-Zealand	121–91	16.70	21	11	5/10	0/3	1/4	1	2	3	2	2	2	0	2	26	●
2026-06-30	fiba-u17-wc	Serbia	Ivory-Coast	97–71	16.70	26	16	6/14	4/10	0/2	2	3	5	3	1	0	3	2	13	●
2026-06-28	fiba-u17-wc	Serbia	Venezuela	84–53	16.69	18	7	2/5	1/4	2/2	0	3	3	2	1	0	4	1	16	●
2026-06-27	fiba-u17-wc	Serbia	@ Australia	66–88	16.69	26	16	5/13	2/6	4/7	2	2	4	2	2	1	1	1	-22
2026-05-17	es-u22	Zaragoza U22	@ Burgos U22	83–87	16.58	22	5	2/5	0/3	1/6	1	3	4	0	1	1	1	1	0
2026-05-16	es-u22	Zaragoza U22	@ Barca U22	88–98	16.57	30	16	6/15	3/11	1/2	1	0	1	1	2	0	3	1	0	●
2026-05-15	es-u22	Zaragoza U22	G.Canaria U22	101–89	16.57	27	11	2/6	2/6	5/5	1	3	4	4	2	0	2	2	0
2026-04-17	es-u22	Zaragoza U22	@ Manresa U22	75–72	16.49	27	9	3/11	0/4	3/7	1	2	3	1	2	0	3	1	0	●
2026-04-06	es-u22	Zaragoza U22	Real U22	63–55	16.46	15	4	1/2	1/2	1/2	1	0	1	1	2	0	0	2	0	●
2026-04-03	es-u22	Zaragoza U22	@ Joventut U22	69–71	16.45	17	4	2/6	0/2	0/1	0	1	1	1	0	1	1	4	0	●
2026-03-27	es-u22	Zaragoza U22	Burgos U22	102–85	16.44	13	3	1/3	1/3	0/0	1	0	1	1	2	0	3	3	0
2026-03-06	es-u22	Zaragoza U22	Canarias U22	86–83	16.38	22	12	5/7	1/2	1/4	1	0	1	2	1	0	0	1	0	●
2026-02-26	es-u22	Zaragoza U22	Manresa U22	76–69	16.36	30	17	6/10	3/5	2/4	0	3	3	2	3	0	5	2	0	●
2026-02-13	es-u22	Zaragoza U22	@ Barca U22	75–102	16.32	23	8	4/12	0/4	0/0	2	3	5	4	1	0	3	2	0	●
2026-02-06	es-u22	Zaragoza U22	Joventut U22	80–57	16.30	27	13	6/9	1/3	0/1	0	5	5	3	3	0	3	3	0	●
2026-01-30	es-u22	Zaragoza U22	@ Canarias U22	103–102	16.28	31	8	4/7	0/2	0/2	3	3	6	4	2	0	1	2	0	●
2026-01-24	es-u22	Zaragoza U22	G.Canaria U22	101–95	16.27	28	17	4/7	4/5	5/7	1	3	4	6	2	0	1	2	0	●
2026-01-16	es-u22	Zaragoza U22	@ Burgos U22	79–89	16.24	24	12	5/9	2/4	0/3	1	2	3	0	2	0	4	1	0	●
2026-01-02	es-u22	Zaragoza U22	@ Barca U22	62–88	16.21	26	18	6/11	1/5	5/6	1	1	2	5	1	1	2	2	0	●
2026-01-02	es-acb	Zaragoza	@ Barca	80–100	16.21	2	3	1/1	0/0	1/1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
2025-12-26	es-u22	Zaragoza U22	Valencia U22	90–75	16.19	30	17	5/10	1/4	6/7	3	4	7	7	1	0	3	1	0	●
2025-12-19	es-u22	Zaragoza U22	Manresa U22	84–72	16.17	19	8	3/6	0/2	2/5	1	2	3	2	0	0	3	4	0	●

Development standing in the 2009 cohort ? Development

Each point is his level- and age-adjusted production over the twelve months ending that quarter, placed against everyone born in 2009 who also had 150+ minutes in their own trailing year. 100 is the top of his age group.

A rising line is a player pulling away from his own age group; a flat one at a higher level is still progress.

It is built from the same fitted coefficients as the Prospect Score's largest component, applied to the games played up to each quarter — not a separate model, and not a reconstruction of the Score itself, which exists only for today.

Recent form is a rolling 10-game composite per 40 over his last games — raw output, not translated, because form is about what he is doing now.

Season	Level	Adj	Standing	Rank	Sample
2025-2026	3	35.9	90	#27/250	825′/34
2024-2025	4	30.0	70	#63/208	154′/7

Recent form rolling 10 games, raw per 40

2025-12-19 last 25 games · latest 29.8 2026-07-05

Level ladder strongest first ? Level ladder

Every competition he has played a reliable sample in, strongest first. The bar is how strong the competition is — its Level Index, 0 to 100 — not how much he played; his total minutes there are on the right.

Moving up this ladder while holding production is the trajectory signal.

Competition levelMinutes

3 Liga U22 · 65 630′

4 FIBA U17 World Cup · 51 195′

4 FIBA U16 EuroBasket Division A · 45 154′

🔒 Comparable players

Who he looked like at the same age, and who plays like him now. For subscribers.